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For all his vaunted talents, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan has never had much of a reputation as an economic forecaster. In fact, he shies away from making the precise-to-the-decimal-point predictions that many other economists thrive on. Instead, he owes his success as a monetary policymaker to his ability to sniff out threats to the economy and manipulate interest rates to dampen the dangers he perceives. Now, those instincts are being put to the test. Many Fed watchers-and some policymakers inside the central bank itself are beginning to wonder whether Greenspan has lost his touch. Despite rising risks to the economy from a swooning stock market and soaring oil prices that could hamper growth, the Greenspan-led Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) opted to leave interest rates unchanged on Sept. 24. But in a rare dissent, two of the Fed’s 12 policymakers broke ranks and voted for a cut in rotes—Dallas Fed President Robert D. McTeer Jr. and central bank Go
A. Greenspan didn't rule out the possibility of a future rate reduction.
B. Greenspan's monetary policy may turn out to be a failure.
C. Greenspan's refusal to cut rates now was justified.
D. Greenspan will definitely cut the rates before Nov. 6.

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